Comments on: Adventures In Stupidity http://twinkietalk.com/2009/10/18/adventures-in-stupidity/ A Minnesota Twins Blog Tue, 07 Sep 2010 15:16:31 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: Fetch http://twinkietalk.com/2009/10/18/adventures-in-stupidity/comment-page-1/#comment-102 Fetch Wed, 21 Oct 2009 03:25:21 +0000 http://twinkietalk.com/?p=599#comment-102 I'm trying to decide how mean I should be with my response... I’m trying to decide how mean I should be with my response…

]]> By: Granny Baseball http://twinkietalk.com/2009/10/18/adventures-in-stupidity/comment-page-1/#comment-101 Granny Baseball Wed, 21 Oct 2009 02:18:45 +0000 http://twinkietalk.com/?p=599#comment-101 I think if Izturis doesn't throw it away, he gets the out at second. That makes it the right play. And the problem was not that there wasn't anyone backing the play up, but that Figgins fumbled the ball. The problem with run probabilities is they tell you very little about what was probable in this situation with the specific players involved. I am not sure they even tell you very much in general, but that is a longer discussion. I think if Izturis doesn’t throw it away, he gets the out at second. That makes it the right play. And the problem was not that there wasn’t anyone backing the play up, but that Figgins fumbled the ball.

The problem with run probabilities is they tell you very little about what was probable in this situation with the specific players involved. I am not sure they even tell you very much in general, but that is a longer discussion.

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